Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 7.731730 8.596856 9.566905 10.745067 12.150872 13.792191 15.880133
2025-01-19 6.254145 7.344309 8.674291 10.452514 12.827028 15.982427 20.670245
2025-01-26 5.507500 6.698398 8.234228 10.428931 13.611862 18.294796 26.243845
2025-02-02 5.264249 6.611568 8.441590 11.231399 15.633312 22.867323 37.248593
2025-02-09 4.983990 6.418125 8.447726 11.710477 17.245437 27.309232 50.753509
2025-02-16 4.643793 6.090837 8.202235 11.737205 18.089304 30.660569 64.526410
2025-02-23 4.433806 5.922581 8.162680 12.073607 19.546663 35.814885 88.257956
2025-03-02 4.086768 5.514973 7.701498 11.611963 19.360645 37.252060 102.353773
2025-03-09 3.819690 5.205530 7.363205 11.314749 19.436352 39.374523 122.480766
2025-03-16 3.617782 4.979883 7.137398 11.187103 19.839195 42.560602 154.016409
2025-03-23 3.529878 4.924675 7.186152 11.577692 21.489825 50.264538 236.034103
2025-03-30 3.328289 4.672734 6.876662 11.226513 21.311963 52.128139 285.411318
2025-04-06 3.103748 4.384850 6.508137 10.768058 20.920778 53.666235 352.127876
2025-04-13 2.920198 4.155534 6.229290 10.470725 20.917778 56.944670 483.279704
2025-04-20 2.794993 4.013346 6.091517 10.446912 21.641642 63.906793 832.364399
2025-04-27 2.790622 4.071966 6.321319 11.251454 24.993620 87.509996 4964.816472
2025-05-04 2.742231 4.050709 6.399173 11.731809 27.621999 113.301849 NaN
2025-05-11 2.646036 3.938867 6.292060 11.758608 28.787534 132.620450 NaN
2025-05-18 2.589957 3.893825 6.310667 12.095923 31.235524 171.193599 NaN
2025-05-25 2.458491 3.705716 6.028570 11.633030 30.478077 175.702529 NaN
2025-06-01 2.352559 3.558642 5.819632 11.335025 30.307704 188.104407 NaN
2025-06-08 2.270256 3.450380 5.682115 11.207041 30.812429 212.788004 NaN
2025-06-15 2.240269 3.436056 5.736217 11.598667 33.753925 296.722676 NaN